Council for a Livable World

Latest Polling on 2006 Senate Campaigns

The closest contests: Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, Ohio, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Virginia
The next closest: Connecticut, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Washington

N.B. This listing includes mostly media and public polls; party or candidate polls are generally not used unless other polls are unavailable. Because all polls have a margin of error in their numbers, the polls should be taken as useful indicators at the moment the polling is conducted rather than absolute truth. In some instances, conflicting polls are provided.

Arizona

46% - Jon Kyl (R)
41% - Jim Pederson (D)
4% - Richard Mack (L)
9% - other, undecided
Zimmerman and Assoc. poll; conducted 10/25-30 for the Arizona Daily Star; surveyed 400 likely voters

47% - Jon Kyl (R)
41% - Jim Pederson (D)
3% - Richard Mack (L)
9% - other, undecided
AZ State University Cronkite School of Journalism poll conducted October 19-22 for KAET-TV -- 1019 registered voters

49% - Jon Kyl (R)
33% - Jim Pederson (D)
2% - Richard Mack (L)
16% - other, undecided
Northern AZ University Grand Canyon State poll conducted October 11-16 -- 403 likely voters

California

55% - Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D)
33% - Dick Mountjoy (R)
12% - other, undecided
Field Poll conducted October 23-30 -- 795 likely voters

53% - Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D)
23% - Dick Mountjoy (R)
24% - other, undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted September 25-28 for MSNBC and McClatchy -- 625 likely voters

57% - Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D)
29% - Dick Mountjoy (R)
14% - other, undecided
Los Angeles Times poll conducted September 23-28 -- 989 likely voters

Connecticut

51% - Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I)
39% - Ned Lamont (D)
7% - Alan Schlesinger (R)
3% - other/undecided
Research 2000 poll conducted October 30 – November 1 for the New London Day and the Manchester Journal Inquirer -- 600 likely voters

49% - Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I)
37% - Ned Lamont (D)
8% - Alan Schlesinger (R)
6% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 601 likely voters

49% - Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I)
37% - Ned Lamont (D)
8% - Alan Schlesinger (R)
6% - other/undecided
Quinnipiac University poll conducted October 24-30 -- 926 likely voters

Delaware

60% - Sen. Tom Carper (D)
26% - Jan Ting (R)
14% - other/undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind poll conducted October 18-24 -- 502 likely voters

Florida

56% - Bill Nelson (D)
30% - Katherine Harris (R)
14% - other, undecided
Schroth, Eldon & Assoc. poll conducted October 22-25 for the St. Petersburg Times -- 800 likely voters

64% - Bill Nelson (D)
29% - Katherine Harris (R)
7% - other, undecided
Quinnipiac University poll conducted October 18-22 -- 816 likely voters

Maine

73% - Olympia Snowe (R)
13% - Jean Hay Bright (D)
14% - other/undecided
Critical Insights poll conducted October 16-23 -- 600 registered voters

Maryland

49% - Rep. Ben Cardin (D)
43% - Lt. Gov. Michael Steele (R)
2% - Kevin Zeese (G)
8% - other/undecided
Potomac Inc. poll conducted October 28-30 for the Baltimore Sun -- 800 likely voters

49% - Rep. Ben Cardin (D)
44% - Lt. Gov. Michael Steele (R)
2% - Kevin Zeese (G)
4% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 601 likely voters

54% - Rep. Ben Cardin (D)
43% - Lt. Gov. Michael Steele (R)
3% - other/undecided
Washington Post poll conducted October 22-26 – 1,003 likely voters

Massachusetts

66% - Sen. Edward Kennedy (D)
25% - Kenneth Chase (R)
10% - other/undecided
University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll conducted October 22-25 for the Boston Globe and WBZ-TV -- 585 likely voters

Michigan

51% - Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D)
38% - Mike Bouchard (R)
11% - other/undecided
EPIC/MRA poll conducted October 30 - November 1 for the Detroit News, WXYZ-TV, WOOD-TV, WILX-TV and WJRT-TV -- 600 likely voters

52% - Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D)
38% - Mike Bouchard (R)
10% - other/undecided
EPIC/MRA poll conducted October 26 and 29-30 for the Detroit News, WXYZ-TV, WOOD-TV; WILX-TV and WJRT-TV -- 600 likely voters

50% - Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D)
38% - Mike Bouchard (R)
12% - other/undecided
EPIC/MRA poll conducted October 22-25 for the Detroit News -- 600 likely voters

Minnesota

50% - Amy Klobuchar (D)
40% - Rep. Mark Kennedy (R)
10% - other/undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 26-30 for the St. Paul Pioneer Press and MN Public Radio -- 625 likely voters

55% - Amy Klobuchar (D)
33% - Rep. Mark Kennedy (R)
3% - Robert Fitzgerald (IP)
8% - other/undecided
University of MN Humphrey Institute poll conducted October 23-28 -- 663 likely voters

55% - Amy Klobuchar (D)
31% - Rep. Mark Kennedy (R)
3% - Robert Fitzgerald (IP)
13% - other/undecided
St. Cloud State University poll conducted October 15-27 -- 494 likely voters

Missouri

46% - Jim Talent (R)
43% - Claire McCaskill (D)
6% - Frank Gilmour (R)
5% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted 10/24-30 -- 601 likely voters

49% - Jim Talent (R)
49% - Claire McCaskill (D)
2% - other/undecided
CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll conducted October 26-29 -- 565 likely voters

47% - Jim Talent (R)
47% - Claire McCaskill (D)
6% - other/undecided
Research 2000 poll conducted October 23-26 for the Post-Dispatch and KMOV– 800 likely voters

Montana

47% - Jon Tester (D)
46% - Conrad Burns (R)
2% - Stan Jones (L)
5% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted 10/24-30 -- 602 likely voters

46% - Jon Tester (D)
43% - Conrad Burns (R)
11% - other/undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 18-21 for MSNBC and McClatchy -- 625 likely voters

46% - Jon Tester (D)
35% - Conrad Burns (R)
5% - Stan Jones (L)
14% - other/undecided
MT State University-Billings poll conducted October 10-12 and October 14-15 -- 409 likely voters

Nebraska

55% - Ben Nelson (D)
32% - Pete Ricketts (R)
Rasmussen poll conducted August 10 – 500 likely voters

Nevada

54% - Sen. John Ensign (R)
37% - Jack Carter (D)
9% - other/undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 26-30 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal -- 625 likely voters

55% - Sen. John Ensign (R)
41% - Jack Carter (D)
4% - other/undecided
Research 2000 poll conducted October 23-25 -- 600 likely voters

New Jersey

48% - Sen. Bob Menendez (D)
38% - Tom Kean Jr. (R)
14% - other/undecided
Fairleigh Dickinson Univ. PublicMind poll conducted October 25-31 -- 577 likely voters

46% - Sen. Bob Menendez (D)
42% - Tom Kean Jr. (R)
12% - other/undecided
Rutgers-Eagleton poll conducted October 29-31 -- 500 likely voters

49% - Sen. Bob Menendez (D)
37% - Tom Kean Jr. (R)
14% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 602 likely voters

New Mexico

65% - Jeff Bingaman (D)
19% - Allen McCullough (R)
16% - other/undecided
Research and Polling Inc. poll conducted September 25-28 for the Albuquerque Journal -- 664 registered voters

62% - Jeff Bingaman (D)
23% - Allen McCullough (R)
15% - other/undecided
Research and Polling Inc. poll conducted August 25-31 – 674 likely voters

New York

65% - Hillary Clinton (D)
28% - John Spencer (R)
7% - other/undecided
Siena Research Inst. poll conducted October 30 - November 1 -- 500 likely voters

67% - Hillary Clinton (D)
30% - John Spencer (R)
3% - other/undecided
Marist University poll conducted October 16-18 for WNBC -- 475 likely voters

65% - Hillary Clinton (D)
30% - John Spencer (R)
5% - other/undecided
Quinnipiac University poll conducted October 11-16 -- 1053 likely voters

Ohio

49% - Sherrod Brown (D)
42% - Mike DeWine (R)
9% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 604 likely voters

54% - Sherrod Brown (D)
43% - Mike DeWine (R)
3% - other/undecided
CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll conducted October 26-29 -- 542 likely voters

47% - Sherrod Brown (D)
39% - Mike DeWine (R)
14% - other/undecided
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll conducted October 20-23 -- 507 likely voters

Pennsylvania

51% - Bob Casey (D)
43% - Rick Santorum (R)
6% - other/undecided
Muhlenberg College poll conducted October 29 - November 1 -- 507 likely voters

48% - Bob Casey (D)
40% - Rick Santorum (R)
12% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 604 likely voters

53% - Bob Casey (D)
38% - Rick Santorum (R)
9% - other/undecided
Franklin & Marshall Keystone Poll conducted October 25-29 -- 335 likely voters

Rhode Island

53% - Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
39% - Lincoln Chafee (R)
8% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 601 likely voters

51% - Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
43% - Lincoln Chafee (R)
6% - other/undecided
RI College/Bureau of Government Research and Services poll conducted October 23-25 -- 408 registered voters

48% - Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
43% - Lincoln Chafee (R)
9% - other/undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 18-20 for MSNBC and McClatchy -- 625 likely voters

Tennessee

53% - Bob Corker (R)
43% - Rep. Harold Ford (D)
4% - other/undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 603 likely voters

52% - Bob Corker (R)
44% - Rep. Harold Ford (D)
4% - other/undecided
CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll conducted October 26-29 -- 541 likely voters

49% - Bob Corker (R)
44% - Rep. Harold Ford (D)
7% - other/undecided
Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll conducted October 20-23 -- 515 likely voters

Texas

61% - Kay Bailey Hutchison (R)
27% - Barbara Ann Radnofsky (D)
12% - other, undecided
Zogby International poll conducted October 23-25 for the Houston Chronicle – 1,003 likely voters

Utah

62% - Sen. Orrin Hatch (R)
25% - Pete Ashdown (D)
13% - Other, undecided
Dan Jones & Associates poll conducted September 25-28 for the Deseret Morning News and KSL-TV -- 922 registered voters

61% - Sen. Orrin Hatch (R)
27% - Pete Ashdown (D)
12% - Other, undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted August 22-24 – 625 registered voters

Vermont

57% - Bernie Sanders (I)
36% - Richard Tarrant (R)
7% - other/undecided
Research 2000 poll conducted October 23-24 for WCAX-TV -- 400 likely voters

Virginia

45% - George Allen (R)
44% - James Webb (D)
11% - other, undecided
Zogby Int'l poll conducted October 24-30 -- 602 likely voters

50% - James Webb (D)
46% - George Allen (R)
4% - other, undecided
CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll conducted October 26-29 -- 597 likely voters

45% - George Allen (R)
42% - James Webb (D)
12% - other, undecided
Roanoke College poll conducted October 22-29 -- 453 likely voters

Washington

52% - Maria Cantwell (D)
37% - Mike McGavick (R)
11% - other, undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 18-21 for MSNBC and McClatchy -- 625 likely voters

53% - Maria Cantwell (D)
41% - Mike McGavick (R)
6% - other, undecided
UW Institute for Study of Ethnicity, Race & Sexuality Washington Poll conducted October 25-31 -- 700 registered voters

West Virginia

63% - Robert Byrd (D)
30% - John Raese (R)
Rasmussen poll conducted September 5 -- 500 likely voters

Wisconsin

69% - Sen. Herbert Kohl (D)
14% - Robert Gerald Lorge (R)
2% - Rae Vogeler (G)
15% - other/undecided
UW-Madison Badger Poll conducted October 18-26 -- 508 likely voters

Wyoming

67% - Craig Thomas (R)
26% - Dale Groutage (D)
7% - other/undecided
Mason-Dixon poll conducted October 9-12 for the Casper Star-Tribune -- 625 likely voters

Last Updated

November 3, 2006

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